June 25 Updated Probabilities

From Javier....

No surprises on the last day of group stage matches. Spain and Chile both passed in Group H, while the anti-football Swiss team was deservedly rewarded with a trip back to Geneva. Good to see the Spanish team being able to beat a very determined Chile team, there was a moment until the goalkeeper howler that led to the first Spanish goal that I thought this was going to be a long night. At the end both teams were content with the 2-1 given the 0-0 at the Switzerland - Honduras game.

Brazil and Portugal tied in a stinker 0-0 while Ivory Coast defeated North Korea, 3-0. The North Koreans are off back home to explain to their Supreme Leader what has happened. I blame capitalist referees and balls.

We have updated the Simulator with today's results and updated user inputs, which now ignores the 16 teams that have packed their bags. Results are below. Brazil is still favourite with a 22.0% of taking the tournament followed by a recovered Spain with 18.1%. Argentina and Germany are next in the pack with 10.2% and 9.7%, respectively.